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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
In the 2010 Pennsylvania Governor race, Thomas W. Corbett (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+9.0
Final polls said
R+8.2
17 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | R+10.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Magellan Strategies | R+10.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marist College | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | R+7.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | R+11.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | ccAdvertising | R+6.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 12 | Ipsos | R+6.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+16.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | Digital Research | R+1.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
34 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2010-10-302
YouGov2010-10-302
Public Policy Polling2010-10-302
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-280
Marist College2010-10-272
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania Governor race?
Thomas W. Corbett (R) won, by about 9.0 points (R+9.0).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.