Actual result
R+31.9
Final polls said
R+28.7
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+26.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ&N | R+28.7 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+28.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | R+26.8 | 5.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ&N | 2010-10-26 | 600 | R+28.7 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-10-07 | 500 | R+28.0 | 4 |
| CJ&N | 2010-09-20 | 600 | R+31.0 | 1 |