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Toss-up · 2010 Governor
Wisconsin Governor
In the 2010 Wisconsin Governor race, Scott Walker (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+5.8
Final polls said
R+7.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | R+7.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Wood Communications Group | R+7.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Forward Strategies | R+4.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | R+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | R+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | ccAdvertising | R+9.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Mellman Group | R+2.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 12 | Ipsos | R+10.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 13 | FM3 Research | EVEN | 5.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-273
YouGov2010-10-274
Marist College2010-10-271
Forward Strategies2010-10-272
Voter/Consumer Research2010-10-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Wisconsin Governor race?
Scott Walker (R) won, by about 5.8 points (R+5.8).
When was the 2010 Wisconsin Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.