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Toss-up · 2010 House
Arizona House
In the 2010 Arizona House race, Paul Gosar (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.0
Final polls said
R+8.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSB Research | R+7.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lake Research Partners | D+3.0 | 9.0 | ✗ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+19.9 | 13.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lake Research Partners2010-10-139
ccAdvertising2010-10-0514
PSB Research2010-09-271
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arizona House race?
Paul Gosar (R) won, by about 6.0 points (R+6.0).
When was the 2010 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.