← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 House
Michigan House
In the 2010 Michigan House race, Tim Walberg (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
EVEN
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rossman Group | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | PSB Research | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | National Research | R+13.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | EPIC-MRA | D+6.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+7.0 | 11.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Marketing Resource Group (MRG)2010-10-2512
National Research2010-10-208
EPIC-MRA2010-10-1611
PSB Research2010-09-265
Rossman Group2010-09-201
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Michigan House race?
Tim Walberg (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2010 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.