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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Mexico House
In the 2010 New Mexico House race, Martin Heinrich (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.6
Final polls said
R+4.2
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+7.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+3.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | R+7.5 | 11.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2010-10-277
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-246
ccAdvertising2010-10-1811
Research & Polling Inc.2010-09-293
Public Policy Polling2010-09-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Mexico House race?
Martin Heinrich (D) won, by about 3.6 points (D+3.6).
When was the 2010 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2010.