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Toss-up · 2010 House
New Mexico House
In the 2010 New Mexico House race, Ben Ray Luján (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.0
Final polls said
D+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-09-258
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New Mexico House race?
Ben Ray Luján (D) won, by about 14.0 points (D+14.0).
When was the 2010 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.