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Toss-up · 2010 House
New York House
In the 2010 New York House race, John Hall (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.7
Final polls said
D+0.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+1.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+1.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | EVEN | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | ccAdvertising | R+0.6 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | Iona University Political Science Department | R+1.0 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+2.0 | 6.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2010-10-254
Iona University Political Science Department2010-10-206
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-174
PSB Research2010-10-135
Siena College2010-10-078
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New York House race?
John Hall (D) won, by about 4.7 points (D+4.7).
When was the 2010 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.