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Toss-up · 2010 House
New York House
In the 2010 New York House race, Christopher P. Gibson (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.5
Final polls said
R+5.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+2.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Siena College | R+9.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+13.0 | 14.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2010-10-247
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-170
Grove Insight2010-09-2915
Public Opinion Strategies2010-09-276
Siena College2010-09-1319
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New York House race?
Christopher P. Gibson (R) won, by about 1.5 points (R+1.5).
When was the 2010 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.