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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Tom Marino (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.3
Final polls said
R+1.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+5.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | EVEN | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+6.0 | 16.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Momentum Analysis | D+7.0 | 17.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Digital Research2010-10-241
Lycoming College Polling Institute2010-10-1916
PSB Research2010-10-1310
Momentum Analysis2010-10-1217
Digital Research2010-10-104
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Tom Marino (R) won, by about 10.3 points (R+10.3).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.