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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Tom Marino (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.3
Final polls said
R+1.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Digital Research | R+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+5.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSB Research | EVEN | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Lycoming College Polling Institute | D+6.0 | 16.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | Momentum Analysis | D+7.0 | 17.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Digital Research2010-10-241
Lycoming College Polling Institute2010-10-1916
PSB Research2010-10-1310
Momentum Analysis2010-10-1217
Digital Research2010-10-104
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Tom Marino (R) won, by about 10.3 points (R+10.3).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.