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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Jim Gerlach (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.2
Final polls said
R+10.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+10.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling InstituteGrade B10-192010-10-194
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Jim Gerlach (R) won, by about 14.2 points (R+14.2).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.