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Toss-up · 2010 House

Pennsylvania House

In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Patrick Meehan (R) won by about 11 points.

Actual result
R+11.0
Final polls said
R+4.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Public Opinion StrategiesR+12.01.0
2ccAdvertisingR+4.96.1
3Monmouth University Polling InstituteR+4.07.0
4Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchR+3.08.0
5PSB ResearchR+1.010.0

The polls behind it

5 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2010-10-088
ccAdvertising2010-10-076
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-057
PSB Research2010-10-0410
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-031

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?

Patrick Meehan (R) won, by about 11.0 points (R+11.0).

When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?

It was held in November 2010.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

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