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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.0
Final polls said
R+4.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+14.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Global Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 9.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | PSB Research | D+3.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+3.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-193
Global Strategy Group2010-10-189
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-122
PSB Research2010-10-1110
Harstad Strategic Research2010-09-2110
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) won, by about 7.0 points (R+7.0).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.