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Toss-up · 2010 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2010 Pennsylvania House race, Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+7.0
Final polls said
R+4.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+10.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | R+14.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Global Strategy Group | D+2.0 | 9.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | PSB Research | D+3.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+3.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2010-10-193
Global Strategy Group2010-10-189
Monmouth University Polling Institute2010-10-122
PSB Research2010-10-1110
Harstad Strategic Research2010-09-2110
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Pennsylvania House race?
Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) won, by about 7.0 points (R+7.0).
When was the 2010 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.