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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
California Senate
In the 2010 California Senate race, Barbara Boxer (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.0
Final polls said
D+5.2
18 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suffolk University | D+9.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tulchin Research | D+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+8.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Angus Reid Global | D+7.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Big Village | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+3.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Ipsos | D+1.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | Tarrance Group | EVEN | 10.0 | ✗ |
| 14 | WPA Intelligence | R+3.0 | 13.0 | ✗ |
| 15 | ccAdvertising | R+4.1 | 14.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
38 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-306
YouGov2010-10-306
SurveyUSA2010-10-282
Angus Reid Global2010-10-283
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-277
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 California Senate race?
Barbara Boxer (D) won, by about 10.0 points (D+10.0).
When was the 2010 California Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.