Actual result
R+31.1
Final polls said
R+31.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+26.5
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selzer & Co. | R+31.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+26.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+18.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co. | 2010-10-28 | 805 | R+31.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-23 | 500 | R+18.0 | 13 |
| Selzer & Co. | 2010-09-21 | 550 | R+31.0 | 0 |