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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
North Carolina Senate
In the 2010 North Carolina Senate race, Richard Burr (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.8
Final polls said
R+11.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+12.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Tyson Group | R+10.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+14.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | High Point University Survey Research Center | R+14.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+15.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | National Research | R+20.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-300
SurveyUSA2010-10-243
The Tyson Group2010-10-192
Public Policy Polling2010-10-164
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-122
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 North Carolina Senate race?
Richard Burr (R) won, by about 11.8 points (R+11.8).
When was the 2010 North Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.