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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
New York Senate
In the 2010 New York Senate race, Charles E. Schumer (D) won by about 38 points.
Actual result
D+38.0
Final polls said
D+25.2
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New York Times | D+40.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+30.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+28.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+26.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 15.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Angus Reid Global | D+21.0 | 17.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Siena College | D+20.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Big Village | D+16.0 | 22.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+15.0 | 23.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Public Policy Polling | D+10.0 | 28.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
43 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2010-10-3012
YouGov2010-10-308
Siena College2010-10-2912
Siena College2010-10-296
Angus Reid Global2010-10-2811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 New York Senate race?
Charles E. Schumer (D) won, by about 38.0 points (D+38.0).
When was the 2010 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.