Actual result
R+17.4
Final polls said
R+16.9
14 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+14.7
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angus Reid Global | R+17.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | R+18.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+18.3 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Columbus Dispatch | R+16.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | R+19.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | R+15.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Big Village | R+15.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | VotePredictor | R+14.7 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | R+21.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | R+13.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | WPA Intelligence | R+11.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | CBS News/The New York Times | R+11.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+24.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | R+10.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 15 | Ipsos | R+3.0 | 14.4 | ✓ |
Polls (34)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 2010-10-30 | 560 | R+13.0 | 4 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2010-10-29 | 930 | R+21.0 | 4 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2010-10-29 | 1356 | R+18.0 | 1 |
| Angus Reid Global | 2010-10-28 | 492 | R+17.0 | 0 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2010-10-27 | 848 | R+19.0 | 2 |
| YouGov | 2010-10-27 | 805 | R+13.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-10-26 | 750 | R+24.0 | 7 |
| SurveyUSA | 2010-10-24 | 613 | R+15.0 | 2 |
| Columbus Dispatch | 2010-10-24 | 1445 | R+16.0 | 1 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2010-10-21 | 686 | R+17.0 | 0 |
| WPA Intelligence | 2010-10-20 | 500 | R+11.0 | 6 |
| ccAdvertising | 2010-10-19 | 2060 | R+18.3 | 1 |
| Big Village | 2010-10-17 | 863 | R+15.0 | 2 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2010-10-16 | 839 | R+19.0 | 2 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2010-10-14 | 1188 | R+21.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-10-11 | 750 | R+23.0 | 6 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2010-10-10 | 652 | R+22.0 | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-10-09 | 1000 | R+17.0 | 0 |
| Angus Reid Global | 2010-10-07 | 500 | R+9.0 | 8 |
| Suffolk University | 2010-10-05 | 500 | R+10.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-10-02 | 1000 | R+16.0 | 1 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2010-10-01 | 1025 | R+19.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-27 | 500 | R+9.0 | 8 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-25 | 1000 | R+13.0 | 4 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2010-09-25 | 941 | R+11.0 | 6 |
| Ipsos | 2010-09-25 | 600 | R+3.0 | 14 |
| Ipsos | 2010-09-24 | 440 | R+13.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-18 | 1000 | R+13.0 | 4 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2010-09-18 | 852 | R+15.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-13 | 750 | R+8.0 | 9 |
| Big Village | 2010-09-12 | 820 | R+11.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2010-09-12 | 641 | R+9.0 | 8 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2010-09-11 | 730 | R+20.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2010-09-11 | 1000 | R+7.0 | 10 |