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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Wisconsin Senate
In the 2010 Wisconsin Senate race, Ron Johnson (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+5.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward Strategies | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Wood Communications Group | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Ipsos | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | ccAdvertising | R+7.3 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | R+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Big Village | R+8.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Policy Polling | R+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 12 | FM3 Research | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-274
YouGov2010-10-271
Marist College2010-10-272
Forward Strategies2010-10-271
Voter/Consumer Research2010-10-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Wisconsin Senate race?
Ron Johnson (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2010 Wisconsin Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.