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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Wisconsin Senate
In the 2010 Wisconsin Senate race, Ron Johnson (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+5.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward Strategies | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Wood Communications Group | R+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Ipsos | R+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | ccAdvertising | R+7.3 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | R+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Big Village | R+8.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Policy Polling | R+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 12 | FM3 Research | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2010-10-274
YouGov2010-10-271
Marist College2010-10-272
Forward Strategies2010-10-271
Voter/Consumer Research2010-10-261
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Wisconsin Senate race?
Ron Johnson (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2010 Wisconsin Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.