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Toss-up · 2012 Governor
North Carolina Governor
In the 2012 North Carolina Governor race, Pat McCrory (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.4
Final polls said
R+13.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Research | R+11.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | R+13.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Elon University | R+14.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Tyson Group | R+14.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+16.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gravis Marketing | R+16.3 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+17.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
19 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-034
Public Policy Polling2012-10-300
SurveyUSA2012-10-286
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-10-258
Public Policy Polling2012-10-242
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 North Carolina Governor race?
Pat McCrory (R) won, by about 11.4 points (R+11.4).
When was the 2012 North Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.