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Toss-up · 2012 House
North Carolina House
In the 2012 North Carolina House race, Richard Hudson (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.8
Final polls said
R+4.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NRCC | R+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Tyson Group | R+5.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Impact Research | D+1.0 | 8.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Tyson Group2012-10-013
Impact Research2012-09-269
NRCC2012-09-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 North Carolina House race?
Richard Hudson (R) won, by about 7.8 points (R+7.8).
When was the 2012 North Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.