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Toss-up · 2012 House
New Jersey House
In the 2012 New Jersey House race, Jon Runyan (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.9
Final polls said
R+13.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | R+10.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+17.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2012-09-301
McLaughlin & Associates2012-09-178
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Jersey House race?
Jon Runyan (R) won, by about 8.9 points (R+8.9).
When was the 2012 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2012.