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Toss-up · 2012 House
New Mexico House
In the 2012 New Mexico House race, Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+18.3
Final polls said
D+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+15.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+15.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2012-10-243
Research & Polling Inc.2012-10-104
GQR2012-10-083
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Mexico House race?
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) won, by about 18.3 points (D+18.3).
When was the 2012 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2012.