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Toss-up · 2012 House
Virginia House
In the 2012 Virginia House race, E. Scott Rigell (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+7.7
Final polls said
R+14.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benenson Strategy Group | R+9.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | R+12.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+22.0 | 14.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership2012-10-054
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-0114
Benenson Strategy Group2012-09-221
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Virginia House race?
E. Scott Rigell (R) won, by about 7.7 points (R+7.7).
When was the 2012 Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.