← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 President
California President
In the 2012 California President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+23.1
Final polls said
D+15.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MFour Mobile Research | D+22.9 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+15.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+15.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+14.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+12.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-028
MFour Mobile Research2012-10-250
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2012-10-238
Public Policy Institute of California2012-10-1811
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint2012-10-189
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 23.1 points (D+23.1).
When was the 2012 California President election held?
It was held in November 2012.