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Toss-up · 2012 President
Florida President
In the 2012 Florida President race, Barack Obama (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
R+0.3
35 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 4 | Angus Reid Global | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 5 | Big Village | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zogby Analytics | R+0.3 | 1.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | We Ask America | R+0.9 | 1.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Ipsos | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | YouGov | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | Purple Strategies | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+3.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rasmussen Reports | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 17 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 18 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 19 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+3.0 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 21 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 22 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+3.9 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 23 | Hill Research Consultants | R+4.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 24 | InsiderAdvantage | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 25 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 26 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
66 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ipsos2012-11-042
Gravis Marketing2012-11-041
Zogby Analytics2012-11-041
InsiderAdvantage2012-11-046
Public Policy Polling2012-11-030
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 0.9 points (D+0.9).
When was the 2012 Florida President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.