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Toss-up · 2012 President
Florida President
In the 2012 Florida President race, Barack Obama (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.9
Final polls said
R+0.3
35 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Grove Insight | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 4 | Angus Reid Global | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 5 | Big Village | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | D+2.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Zogby Analytics | R+0.3 | 1.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | We Ask America | R+0.9 | 1.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Ipsos | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | YouGov | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | Purple Strategies | R+1.0 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 14 | Suffolk University | D+3.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Rasmussen Reports | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 17 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 18 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+4.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 19 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+3.0 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 21 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 22 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+3.9 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 23 | Hill Research Consultants | R+4.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 24 | InsiderAdvantage | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 25 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+5.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 26 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
66 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ipsos2012-11-042
Gravis Marketing2012-11-041
Zogby Analytics2012-11-041
InsiderAdvantage2012-11-046
Public Policy Polling2012-11-030
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Florida President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 0.9 points (D+0.9).
When was the 2012 Florida President election held?
It was held in November 2012.