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Toss-up · 2012 President

Iowa President

In the 2012 Iowa President race, Mitt Romney (D) won by about 6 points.

Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+2.3
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Marist CollegeD+6.00.2✓
2Selzer & Co.D+5.00.8✓
3Gravis MarketingD+4.01.8✓
4Grove InsightD+3.02.8✓
5CallFireD+3.02.8✓
6Public Policy PollingD+2.03.8✓
7Mellman GroupD+2.03.8✓
8We Ask AmericaD+1.54.3✓
9YouGovD+1.04.8✓
10University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll CooperativeR+0.86.6✗
11American Research GroupR+1.06.8✗
12Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)R+1.06.8✗
13Voter/Consumer ResearchR+1.06.8✗

The polls behind it

31 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-034
American Research Group2012-11-037
YouGov2012-11-025
Selzer & Co.2012-11-011
Grove Insight2012-11-013

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2012 Iowa President race?

Mitt Romney (D) won, by about 5.8 points (D+5.8).

When was the 2012 Iowa President election held?

It was held in November 2012.

Which party matches you?

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