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Toss-up · 2012 President
Iowa President
In the 2012 Iowa President race, Mitt Romney (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+2.3
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marist College | D+6.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+5.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | D+4.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Grove Insight | D+3.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | CallFire | D+3.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | We Ask America | D+1.5 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll Cooperative | R+0.8 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 11 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 12 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 13 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+1.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
31 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2012-11-034
American Research Group2012-11-037
YouGov2012-11-025
Selzer & Co.2012-11-011
Grove Insight2012-11-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Iowa President race?
Mitt Romney (D) won, by about 5.8 points (D+5.8).
When was the 2012 Iowa President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.