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Toss-up · 2012 President
New Jersey President
In the 2012 New Jersey President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+17.7
Final polls said
D+12.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+17.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+15.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | D+10.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+8.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Neighborhood Research and Media | D+7.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-026
Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)2012-10-248
SurveyUSA2012-10-174
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2012-10-153
Quinnipiac University2012-10-1210
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Jersey President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 17.7 points (D+17.7).
When was the 2012 New Jersey President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.