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Toss-up · 2012 President
New Jersey President
In the 2012 New Jersey President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
D+17.7
Final polls said
D+12.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+17.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+15.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+14.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | D+10.0 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+8.0 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Neighborhood Research and Media | D+7.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-026
Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)2012-10-248
SurveyUSA2012-10-174
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2012-10-153
Quinnipiac University2012-10-1210
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Jersey President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 17.7 points (D+17.7).
When was the 2012 New Jersey President election held?
It was held in November 2012.