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Toss-up · 2012 President
New Mexico President
In the 2012 New Mexico President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.2
Final polls said
D+7.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | D+10.3 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-024
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-302
Research & Polling Inc.2012-10-241
Public Policy Polling2012-10-231
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Mexico President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 10.2 points (D+10.2).
When was the 2012 New Mexico President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.