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Toss-up · 2012 President
New Mexico President
In the 2012 New Mexico President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.2
Final polls said
D+7.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | D+10.3 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | D+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-024
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-302
Research & Polling Inc.2012-10-241
Public Policy Polling2012-10-231
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-215
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Mexico President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 10.2 points (D+10.2).
When was the 2012 New Mexico President election held?
It was held in November 2012.