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Toss-up · 2012 President
New York President
In the 2012 New York President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
D+29.5
Final polls said
D+25.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+29.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | D+28.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Marist College | D+26.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Siena College | D+24.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+23.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-027
SurveyUSA2012-10-241
Siena College2012-10-236
Marist College2012-10-204
YouGov2012-10-086
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 29.5 points (D+29.5).
When was the 2012 New York President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.