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Toss-up · 2012 President
Ohio President
In the 2012 Ohio President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.0
Final polls said
D+2.6
47 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angus Reid Global | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Big Village | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+2.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Columbus Dispatch | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Purple Strategies | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | American Research Group | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Lake Research Partners | D+2.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Ipsos | D+4.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Grove Insight | D+4.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | CallFire | D+4.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | We Ask America | D+4.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 15 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | D+1.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 16 | Gravis Marketing | D+1.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 17 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 18 | Public Policy Polling | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 19 | Quinnipiac University | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 20 | Mellman Group | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 21 | Abt Associates | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 22 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 23 | Marist College | D+6.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 24 | Suffolk University | R+0.1 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 25 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.4 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 26 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 27 | Clout Research | R+3.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
82 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2012-11-044
Ipsos2012-11-041
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-11-043
Gravis Marketing2012-11-042
SurveyUSA2012-11-032
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Ohio President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 3.0 points (D+3.0).
When was the 2012 Ohio President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.