Toss-up · 2012 President

Ohio President

In the 2012 Ohio President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result

D+3.0

Final polls said

D+2.6

47 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Angus Reid Global	D+3.0	0.0	✓
2	YouGov	D+3.0	0.0	✓
3	Big Village	D+3.0	0.0	✓
4	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research	D+3.0	0.0	✓
5	McLaughlin & Associates	D+2.9	0.1	✓
6	Rasmussen Reports	D+2.0	1.0	✓
7	Columbus Dispatch	D+2.0	1.0	✓
8	Purple Strategies	D+2.0	1.0	✓
9	American Research Group	D+2.0	1.0	✓
10	Lake Research Partners	D+2.0	1.0	✓
11	Ipsos	D+4.0	1.0	✓
12	Grove Insight	D+4.0	1.0	✓
13	CallFire	D+4.0	1.0	✓
14	We Ask America	D+4.4	1.4	✓
15	University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)	D+1.5	1.5	✓
16	Gravis Marketing	D+1.0	2.0	✓
17	SurveyUSA	D+5.0	2.0	✓
18	Public Policy Polling	D+5.0	2.0	✓
19	Quinnipiac University	D+5.0	2.0	✓
20	Mellman Group	D+5.0	2.0	✓
21	Abt Associates	D+5.0	2.0	✓
22	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	EVEN	3.0	✗
23	Marist College	D+6.0	3.0	✓
24	Suffolk University	R+0.1	3.1	✗
25	Zogby Analytics	D+7.4	4.4	✓
26	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+8.0	5.0	✓
27	Clout Research	R+3.0	6.0	✗