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Toss-up · 2012 President
Pennsylvania President
In the 2012 Pennsylvania President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.4
Final polls said
D+4.6
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | We Ask America | D+5.9 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+6.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | D+6.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Angus Reid Global | D+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+4.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | Rasmussen Reports | D+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | Siena College | D+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | YouGov | D+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 13 | Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | D+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | EVEN | 5.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
38 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2012-11-042
Angus Reid Global2012-11-031
Public Policy Polling2012-11-021
YouGov2012-11-023
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2012-11-022
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Pennsylvania President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 5.4 points (D+5.4).
When was the 2012 Pennsylvania President election held?
It was held in November 2012.