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Toss-up · 2012 President
Virginia President
In the 2012 Virginia President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+3.9
Final polls said
D+1.0
32 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | D+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mellman Group | D+3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Garin-Hart-Yang/Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Suffolk University | D+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Rasmussen Reports | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | We Ask America | D+0.9 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 12 | Old Dominion University | D+7.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 13 | Zogby Analytics | D+0.3 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 14 | Gravis Marketing | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 15 | Purple Strategies | EVEN | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 17 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 18 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 19 | CallFire | R+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | Clout Research | R+2.1 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 21 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+5.0 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 22 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+7.0 | 10.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
59 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2012-11-044
Ipsos2012-11-042
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2012-11-046
Public Policy Polling2012-11-030
YouGov2012-11-022
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Virginia President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 3.9 points (D+3.9).
When was the 2012 Virginia President election held?
It was held in November 2012.