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Toss-up · 2012 President
Wisconsin President
In the 2012 Wisconsin President race, Barack Obama (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
D+4.0
22 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | We Ask America | D+6.7 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Angus Reid Global | D+7.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Grove Insight | D+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marquette University Law School | D+8.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | D+9.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+4.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | D+10.1 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Marist College | D+3.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Quinnipiac University | D+3.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 11 | Clout Research | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | Rasmussen Reports | D+1.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 14 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 6.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
39 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-023
Angus Reid Global2012-11-020
Public Policy Polling2012-11-024
Grove Insight2012-11-011
We Ask America2012-10-310
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Wisconsin President race?
Barack Obama (D) won, by about 6.8 points (D+6.8).
When was the 2012 Wisconsin President election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.