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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
California Senate
In the 2012 California Senate race, Dianne Feinstein (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.1
Final polls said
D+18.6
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+26.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+21.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | MFour Mobile Research | D+19.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+17.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+17.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-028
MFour Mobile Research2012-10-255
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2012-10-234
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint2012-10-188
Princeton Survey Research Associates International2012-10-131
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California Senate race?
Dianne Feinstein (D) won, by about 25.1 points (D+25.1).
When was the 2012 California Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.