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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2012 Michigan Senate race, Debbie Stabenow (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+20.8
Final polls said
D+14.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | D+21.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Glengariff Group | D+14.9 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+14.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Angus Reid Global | D+13.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gravis Marketing | D+8.7 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Baydoun Consulting | D+6.6 | 14.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+6.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2012-11-047
YouGov2012-11-029
Angus Reid Global2012-11-028
Public Policy Polling2012-11-028
Baydoun Consulting2012-11-0214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan Senate race?
Debbie Stabenow (D) won, by about 20.8 points (D+20.8).
When was the 2012 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.