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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2012 Michigan Senate race, Debbie Stabenow (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+20.8
Final polls said
D+14.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | D+21.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Glengariff Group | D+14.9 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+14.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Angus Reid Global | D+13.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+12.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gravis Marketing | D+8.7 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Baydoun Consulting | D+6.6 | 14.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+6.0 | 14.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2012-11-047
YouGov2012-11-029
Angus Reid Global2012-11-028
Public Policy Polling2012-11-028
Baydoun Consulting2012-11-0214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan Senate race?
Debbie Stabenow (D) won, by about 20.8 points (D+20.8).
When was the 2012 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.