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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2012 New Jersey Senate race, Robert Menendez (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.5
Final polls said
D+18.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+20.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | D+18.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | D+18.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+22.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+15.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+14.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-024
Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)2012-10-241
SurveyUSA2012-10-171
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2012-10-153
Quinnipiac University2012-10-121
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Jersey Senate race?
Robert Menendez (D) won, by about 19.5 points (D+19.5).
When was the 2012 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.