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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
New Mexico Senate
In the 2012 New Mexico Senate race, Martin Heinrich (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.7
Final polls said
D+5.3
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+7.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+8.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+8.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | GBAO | D+10.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 6 | We Ask America | D+11.5 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+13.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-021
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-306
GBAO2012-10-284
Research & Polling Inc.2012-10-242
Public Policy Polling2012-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New Mexico Senate race?
Martin Heinrich (D) won, by about 5.7 points (D+5.7).
When was the 2012 New Mexico Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.