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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
New York Senate
In the 2012 New York Senate race, Kirsten E. Gillibrand (D) won by about 43 points.
Actual result
D+42.9
Final polls said
D+40.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+43.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+42.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Marist College | D+44.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | D+37.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+32.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-029
SurveyUSA2012-10-241
Siena College2012-10-232
Marist College2012-10-203
YouGov2012-10-0811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 New York Senate race?
Kirsten E. Gillibrand (D) won, by about 42.9 points (D+42.9).
When was the 2012 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.