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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Texas Senate
In the 2012 Texas Senate race, Ted Cruz (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.8
Final polls said
R+18.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frederick Polls | R+17.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+21.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Texas Lyceum | R+26.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-025
YouGov2012-10-181
YouGov2012-10-081
Texas Lyceum2012-09-1810
Frederick Polls2012-09-121
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Texas Senate race?
Ted Cruz (R) won, by about 15.8 points (R+15.8).
When was the 2012 Texas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.