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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Texas Senate
In the 2012 Texas Senate race, Ted Cruz (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.8
Final polls said
R+18.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frederick Polls | R+17.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+21.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Texas Lyceum | R+26.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-025
YouGov2012-10-181
YouGov2012-10-081
Texas Lyceum2012-09-1810
Frederick Polls2012-09-121
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Texas Senate race?
Ted Cruz (R) won, by about 15.8 points (R+15.8).
When was the 2012 Texas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.