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Toss-up · 2012 Senate
Wisconsin Senate
In the 2012 Wisconsin Senate race, Tammy Baldwin (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.5
Final polls said
D+1.2
18 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquette University Law School | D+4.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Feldman Group | D+3.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | WPA Intelligence | D+3.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | We Ask America | D+2.2 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Angus Reid Global | D+2.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Quinnipiac University | D+2.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 10 | Marist College | D+1.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | EVEN | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 12 | Rasmussen Reports | R+1.0 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 13 | Clout Research | R+2.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
| 14 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | R+3.0 | 8.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
35 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2012-11-025
Angus Reid Global2012-11-024
Public Policy Polling2012-11-023
We Ask America2012-10-313
Clout Research2012-10-308
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Wisconsin Senate race?
Tammy Baldwin (D) won, by about 5.5 points (D+5.5).
When was the 2012 Wisconsin Senate election held?
It was held in November 2012.