Toss-up · 2013 Governor

Virginia Governor

In the 2013 Virginia Governor race, Terry R. McAuliffe (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result

D+2.5

Final polls said

D+8.0

16 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Emerson College	D+2.0	0.5	✓
2	Clout Research	D+1.0	1.5	✓
3	Conquest Communications Group	D+0.5	2.0	✓
4	Marist College	D+5.0	2.5	✓
5	Harper Polling	D+5.0	2.5	✓
6	Purple Strategies	D+5.0	2.5	✓
7	Quinnipiac University	D+6.0	3.5	✓
8	Hampton University Center for Public Policy	D+6.0	3.5	✓
9	Public Policy Polling	D+7.0	4.5	✓
10	Rasmussen Reports	D+7.0	4.5	✓
11	Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	D+7.0	4.5	✓
12	Old Dominion University	D+7.0	4.5	✓
13	Princeton Survey Research Associates International	D+7.0	4.5	✓
14	Public Policy Polling/Harper Polling	D+9.0	6.5	✓
15	ABC News/The Washington Post	D+12.0	9.5	✓
16	Zogby Analytics	D+12.3	9.8	✓
17	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	D+15.0	12.5	✓