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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
California Governor
In the 2014 California Governor race, Jerry Brown (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.9
Final polls said
D+18.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+19.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+21.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+16.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2014-10-302
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint2014-10-261
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2014-10-211
YouGov2014-10-202
Public Policy Institute of California2014-10-164
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 California Governor race?
Jerry Brown (D) won, by about 19.9 points (D+19.9).
When was the 2014 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.