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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
California Governor
In the 2014 California Governor race, Jerry Brown (D) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
D+19.9
Final polls said
D+18.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | D+19.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+21.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+18.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+16.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2014-10-302
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint2014-10-261
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)2014-10-211
YouGov2014-10-202
Public Policy Institute of California2014-10-164
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 California Governor race?
Jerry Brown (D) won, by about 19.9 points (D+19.9).
When was the 2014 California Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.