← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Iowa Governor
In the 2014 Iowa Governor race, Terry E. Branstad (R) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
R+21.7
Final polls said
R+18.0
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+21.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+20.8 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+23.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marist College | R+23.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Selzer & Co. | R+24.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+18.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+17.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Suffolk University | R+17.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Magellan Strategies | R+16.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | R+15.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Policy Polling | R+11.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 12 | Quinnipiac University | R+11.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | R+8.0 | 13.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-0211
Quinnipiac University2014-10-3011
Selzer & Co.2014-10-302
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-294
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2014-10-295
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Iowa Governor race?
Terry E. Branstad (R) won, by about 21.7 points (R+21.7).
When was the 2014 Iowa Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.