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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Iowa Governor
In the 2014 Iowa Governor race, Terry E. Branstad (R) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
R+21.7
Final polls said
R+18.0
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+21.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+20.8 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+23.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marist College | R+23.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Selzer & Co. | R+24.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Rasmussen Reports | R+18.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+17.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Suffolk University | R+17.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Magellan Strategies | R+16.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | YouGov | R+15.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Policy Polling | R+11.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 12 | Quinnipiac University | R+11.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Gravis Marketing | R+8.0 | 13.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-0211
Quinnipiac University2014-10-3011
Selzer & Co.2014-10-302
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-294
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2014-10-295
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Iowa Governor race?
Terry E. Branstad (R) won, by about 21.7 points (R+21.7).
When was the 2014 Iowa Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.