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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Michigan Governor
In the 2014 Michigan Governor race, Rick Snyder (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+4.1
Final polls said
R+1.8
12 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glengariff Group | R+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | R+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rasmussen Reports | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Denno Research | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | EPIC-MRA | R+2.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Lake Research Partners | R+1.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Mitchell Research & Communications | EVEN | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 9 | Clarity Campaign Labs | EVEN | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 10 | We Ask America | EVEN | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 11 | YouGov | D+1.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 12 | Target Insyght | D+1.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 13 | Suffolk University | D+2.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-11-024
Public Policy Polling2014-11-013
Clarity Campaign Labs2014-11-014
EPIC-MRA2014-10-272
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-10-271
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Michigan Governor race?
Rick Snyder (R) won, by about 4.1 points (R+4.1).
When was the 2014 Michigan Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.