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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Minnesota Governor
In the 2014 Minnesota Governor race, Mark Dayton (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.6
Final polls said
D+7.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+9.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | D+10.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2014-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2014-10-211
YouGov2014-10-203
SurveyUSA2014-10-154
SurveyUSA2014-10-016
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Minnesota Governor race?
Mark Dayton (D) won, by about 5.6 points (D+5.6).
When was the 2014 Minnesota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.