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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
New Mexico Governor
In the 2014 New Mexico Governor race, Susana Martinez (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.4
Final polls said
R+15.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+13.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | BWD Global | R+18.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+19.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2014-10-221
BWD Global2014-10-214
YouGov2014-10-202
Public Opinion Strategies2014-10-065
Gravis Marketing2014-09-2910
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Mexico Governor race?
Susana Martinez (R) won, by about 14.4 points (R+14.4).
When was the 2014 New Mexico Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.