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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
New Mexico Governor
In the 2014 New Mexico Governor race, Susana Martinez (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.4
Final polls said
R+15.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+15.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Rasmussen Reports | R+13.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | BWD Global | R+18.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+19.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2014-10-221
BWD Global2014-10-214
YouGov2014-10-202
Public Opinion Strategies2014-10-065
Gravis Marketing2014-09-2910
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Mexico Governor race?
Susana Martinez (R) won, by about 14.4 points (R+14.4).
When was the 2014 New Mexico Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.