← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
In the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor race, Thomas W. Wolf (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+9.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harper Polling | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Magellan Strategies | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | D+15.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+17.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2014-10-282
Magellan Strategies2014-10-273
Harper Polling2014-10-260
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2014-10-233
YouGov2014-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor race?
Thomas W. Wolf (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.