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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Pennsylvania Governor
In the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor race, Thomas W. Wolf (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+9.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harper Polling | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | D+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Magellan Strategies | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | D+7.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | D+15.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Quinnipiac University | D+17.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion2014-10-282
Magellan Strategies2014-10-273
Harper Polling2014-10-260
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2014-10-233
YouGov2014-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor race?
Thomas W. Wolf (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 2014 Pennsylvania Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.