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Toss-up · 2014 House

Arizona House

In the 2014 Arizona House race, Ann Kirkpatrick (D) won by about 5 points.

Actual result
D+5.2
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1North Star Opinion ResearchR+6.011.2✗

The polls behind it

1 poll · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
North Star Opinion Research2014-09-1711

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2014 Arizona House race?

Ann Kirkpatrick (D) won, by about 5.2 points (D+5.2).

When was the 2014 Arizona House election held?

It was held in November 2014.

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