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Toss-up · 2014 House
Iowa House
In the 2014 Iowa House race, David Young (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.5
Final polls said
R+2.1
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | R+4.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center | R+2.1 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tarrance Group | R+2.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+7.0 | 17.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center2014-10-238
Remington Research Group2014-10-127
Tarrance Group2014-10-089
GQR2014-10-0118
GQR2014-09-1614
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Iowa House race?
David Young (R) won, by about 10.5 points (R+10.5).
When was the 2014 Iowa House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.